Category: Geopolitical Risk Intelligence

Data-driven political and economic risk predictions. Monitoring public databases, historical analysis, and predictive modeling for community safety.

AI Sovereignty as Geopolitical Strategy: The EU–US Regulatory Divergence and Its Global Consequences

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429  54stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources11%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted63%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI11%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef5%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed21%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic26%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access42%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References19 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,213✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 3,213
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]16✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 16
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness35%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 35%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (36 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)

The governance of artificial intelligence has become the defining axis of geopolitical competition in 2026. Where the United States has pivoted decisively toward federal deregulation — preempting state-level AI laws and dismantling Biden-era executive oversight — the European Union advances an increasingly assertive sovereignty architecture anchored by the AI Act, scheduled for full enforcement...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429 54stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources11%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted63%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI11%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef5%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed21%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic26%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access42%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References19 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,213✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 3,213
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]16✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 16
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness35%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 35%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (36 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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Israel-Iran Escalation: How Kinetic Conflict Tests AI Defense Infrastructure

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019  46stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted29%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI8%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic21%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References24 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,828✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,828
[u]Original [REQ]99%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 99% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]19✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 19
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness35%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 35%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (22 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)

The March 2026 Israel-Iran kinetic conflict represents the most extensive real-world stress test of AI-integrated defense infrastructure in history. For the first time, artificial intelligence systems are not peripheral tools but embedded operational components — driving target identification, missile intercept prioritization, drone swarm coordination, and cyber-offensive operations at machine ...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019 46stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted29%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI8%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic21%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References24 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,828✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,828
[u]Original [REQ]99%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 99% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]19✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 19
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness35%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 35%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (22 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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China AI Industrial Strategy: The 15th Five-Year Plan and the Weaponization of Technological Dominance

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597  53stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted46%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI15%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed31%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic31%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access46%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References13 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,186✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,186
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]10✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 10
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness50%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (33 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)

On March 5, 2026, China's National People's Congress unveiled the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030), setting an unambiguous course: embed artificial intelligence across the entire industrial and economic machine as a core pillar of national security. This analysis examines the plan's strategic architecture, its geopolitical signal value, and its implications for the global AI competition. Drawing...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597 53stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted46%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI15%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed31%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic31%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access46%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References13 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,186✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,186
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]10✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 10
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness50%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (33 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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The Anthropic Alliance: Amazon, NVIDIA, and Big Tech’s Coalition Against Pentagon Supply-Chain Weaponization

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322  48stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted45%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI5%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed15%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic15%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access50%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References20 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,568✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,568
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]17✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 17
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness29%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 29%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams4✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 4
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (25 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)

On February 27, 2026, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth designated Anthropic a "supply-chain risk to national security," triggering an unprecedented industry response. Within days, Amazon, NVIDIA, OpenAI, and Apple had joined a formal Big Tech coalition challenging the designation — a coalition that signals a structural shift in the relationship between state power and commercial AI governanc...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322 48stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted45%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI5%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed15%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic15%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access50%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References20 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,568✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,568
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]17✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 17
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness29%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 29%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams4✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 4
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (25 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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Anthropic Pentagon Dispute: When AI Safety Clashes with National Security Contracts

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959  48stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted37%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI11%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed21%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic21%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access37%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References19 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,946✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 1,946
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]16✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 16
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness45%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 45%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (26 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)

The escalating confrontation between Anthropic and the United States Department of Defense represents a watershed moment in the governance of frontier AI systems. Beginning with a $200 million classified-network contract signed in mid-2025, the dispute erupted in February 2026 when Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth demanded unfettered access to Anthropic's Claude model—including the removal of ...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959 48stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted37%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI11%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed21%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic21%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access37%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References19 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,946✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 1,946
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]16✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 16
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness45%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 45%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (26 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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The OpenAI-Pentagon-NATO Triangle: When AI Labs Become Defense Contractors

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864  50stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted43%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI14%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed21%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic21%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access43%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References14 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,757✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,757
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]11✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 11
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness40%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 40%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (29 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)

The week of February 27–March 4, 2026 marked a structural inflection point in the geopolitics of artificial intelligence: OpenAI signed a classified-environment deployment agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense, then within days disclosed it was considering a contract with NATO's unclassified networks. Simultaneously, Anthropic was designated a national security "supply-chain risk" by De...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864 50stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted43%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI14%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed21%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic21%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access43%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References14 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,757✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,757
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]11✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 11
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness40%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 40%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (29 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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Tech Cold War 2026 — Microsoft, AWS, and the Geopolitics of AI Infrastructure

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354  43stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted24%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI4%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed16%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic4%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access12%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References25 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,646✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,646
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]22✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 22
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness31%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 31%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (17 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)

The year 2026 marks a decisive inflection point in the global contest over artificial intelligence infrastructure. With the "Big Five" hyperscalers — Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Oracle — collectively forecast to exceed $600 billion in capital expenditure, representing a 36% increase over 2025, the construction of data centers, GPU clusters, and regional cloud regions has become a prima...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354 43stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted24%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI4%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed16%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic4%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access12%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References25 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,646✓Minimum 1,000 words of article body. Current: 2,646
[u]Original [REQ]100%✓≥85% unique sentences (no padding or repeated blocks) and no leaked drafting notes. Current: 100% unique
[e]Evidence [REQ]22✓Cites at least 1 external source(s): links, DOIs or a reference list. Current: 22
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354
[o]ORCID✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed—○Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness31%○≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 31%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (17 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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OpenAI Enterprise Expansion: Geopolitical Implications of $110B AI Dominance

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Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18841505  43stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted19%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI6%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed6%○≥80% have metadata indexed
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On February 27, 2026, OpenAI finalized the largest private funding round in artificial intelligence history — $110 billion at a $730 billion pre-money valuation — led by Amazon ($50B), Nvidia ($30B), and SoftBank ($30B). This capital event is not merely a corporate milestone; it represents a geopolitical inflection point. The simultaneous announcement of a Pentagon contract and an expanded Open...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18841505 43stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
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Velocity, Momentum, and Collapse: How Global Macro Dynamics Drive Near-Term Political Risk

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829686  52stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
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The relationship between global macroeconomic indicators and political instability is not merely a function of levels — the velocity and acceleration of change matter as much as the state itself. A country weathering chronic economic stress may remain stable; sudden deterioration triggers cascading collapse dynamics. This paper presents the World Stability Intelligence (WSI) Macro Velocity Fram...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829686 52stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
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Economic Vulnerability and Political Fragility: Are They the Same Crisis?

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829103  54stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
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Economic collapse and political fragility are often treated as symptoms of the same disease — the assumption being that when an economy fails, political violence follows inevitably. But the World Stability Intelligence (WSI) dataset, covering 87 countries across six regions, reveals a more nuanced picture. Some countries maintain remarkable political stability despite severe economic distress (...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829103 54stabilfr·wuedophcgmx
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[t]Trusted50%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
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Score = Ref Trust (35 × 60%) + Required (4/4 × 30%) + Optional (2/7 × 10%)
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