Category: Geopolitical Risk Intelligence

Data-driven political and economic risk predictions. Monitoring public databases, historical analysis, and predictive modeling for community safety.

AI Sovereignty as Geopolitical Strategy: The EU–US Regulatory Divergence and Its Global Consequences

Posted on by D G
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429  44stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources12%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted71%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI12%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef6%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed24%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic29%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access35%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References17 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,157✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,157
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]41%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 41%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (39 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The governance of artificial intelligence has become the defining axis of geopolitical competition in 2026. Where the United States has pivoted decisively toward federal deregulation — preempting state-level AI laws and dismantling Biden-era executive oversight — the European Union advances an increasingly assertive sovereignty architecture anchored by the AI Act, scheduled for full enforcement...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429 44stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources12%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted71%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI12%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef6%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed24%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic29%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access35%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References17 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,157✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,157
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18886429
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]41%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 41%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (39 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

Israel-Iran Escalation: How Kinetic Conflict Tests AI Defense Infrastructure

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019  27stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted25%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI5%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed20%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic20%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access20%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References20 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,735✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,735
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]40%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 40%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (21 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The March 2026 Israel-Iran kinetic conflict represents the most extensive real-world stress test of AI-integrated defense infrastructure in history. For the first time, artificial intelligence systems are not peripheral tools but embedded operational components — driving target identification, missile intercept prioritization, drone swarm coordination, and cyber-offensive operations at machine ...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019 27stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted25%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI5%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed20%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic20%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access20%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References20 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,735✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,735
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18883019
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]40%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 40%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (21 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

China AI Industrial Strategy: The 15th Five-Year Plan and the Weaponization of Technological Dominance

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597  50stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted55%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI18%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed36%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic36%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access36%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References11 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,122✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,122
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]64%✓≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 64%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (39 × 60%) + Required (4/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

On March 5, 2026, China's National People's Congress unveiled the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030), setting an unambiguous course: embed artificial intelligence across the entire industrial and economic machine as a core pillar of national security. This analysis examines the plan's strategic architecture, its geopolitical signal value, and its implications for the global AI competition. Drawing...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597 50stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted55%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI18%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed36%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic36%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access36%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References11 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,122✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,122
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18881597
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]64%✓≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 64%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (39 × 60%) + Required (4/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

The Anthropic Alliance: Amazon, NVIDIA, and Big Tech’s Coalition Against Pentagon Supply-Chain Weaponization

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322  37stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted50%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI6%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic17%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access44%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References18 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,597✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,597
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]33%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 33%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams4✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 4
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (27 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

On February 27, 2026, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth designated Anthropic a "supply-chain risk to national security," triggering an unprecedented industry response. Within days, Amazon, NVIDIA, OpenAI, and Apple had joined a formal Big Tech coalition challenging the designation — a coalition that signals a structural shift in the relationship between state power and commercial AI governanc...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322 37stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted50%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI6%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic17%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access44%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References18 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,597✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,597
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18879322
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]33%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 33%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams4✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 4
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (27 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

Anthropic Pentagon Dispute: When AI Safety Clashes with National Security Contracts

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959  32stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted41%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI12%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed24%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic24%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access29%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References17 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,972✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,972
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]53%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 53%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (29 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The escalating confrontation between Anthropic and the United States Department of Defense represents a watershed moment in the governance of frontier AI systems. Beginning with a $200 million classified-network contract signed in mid-2025, the dispute erupted in February 2026 when Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth demanded unfettered access to Anthropic's Claude model—including the removal of ...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959 32stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted41%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI12%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed24%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic24%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access29%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References17 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,972✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,972
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18875959
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]53%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 53%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (29 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

The OpenAI-Pentagon-NATO Triangle: When AI Labs Become Defense Contractors

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864  40stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted50%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI17%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed25%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic25%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References12 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,772✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,772
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (33 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The week of February 27–March 4, 2026 marked a structural inflection point in the geopolitics of artificial intelligence: OpenAI signed a classified-environment deployment agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense, then within days disclosed it was considering a contract with NATO's unclassified networks. Simultaneously, Anthropic was designated a national security "supply-chain risk" by De...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864 40stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted50%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI17%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed25%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic25%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References12 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,772✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,772
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18872864
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (33 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

Tech Cold War 2026 — Microsoft, AWS, and the Geopolitics of AI Infrastructure

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354  32stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted30%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI4%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic4%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access4%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References23 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,554✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,554
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]35%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 35%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (19 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The year 2026 marks a decisive inflection point in the global contest over artificial intelligence infrastructure. With the "Big Five" hyperscalers — Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta, and Oracle — collectively forecast to exceed $600 billion in capital expenditure, representing a 36% increase over 2025, the construction of data centers, GPU clusters, and regional cloud regions has become a prima...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354 32stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted30%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI4%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic4%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access4%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References23 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,554✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,554
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18860354
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]35%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 35%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (19 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

OpenAI Enterprise Expansion: Geopolitical Implications of $110B AI Dominance

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18841505  36stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted21%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI7%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed7%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic7%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access7%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References14 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,276✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,276
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18841505
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]79%✓≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 79%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (16 × 60%) + Required (4/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

On February 27, 2026, OpenAI finalized the largest private funding round in artificial intelligence history — $110 billion at a $730 billion pre-money valuation — led by Amazon ($50B), Nvidia ($30B), and SoftBank ($30B). This capital event is not merely a corporate milestone; it represents a geopolitical inflection point. The simultaneous announcement of a Pentagon contract and an expanded Open...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18841505 36stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted21%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI7%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed7%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic7%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access7%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References14 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,276✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,276
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18841505
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]79%✓≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 79%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (16 × 60%) + Required (4/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

Velocity, Momentum, and Collapse: How Global Macro Dynamics Drive Near-Term Political Risk

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829686  75stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted100%✓≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI100%✓≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed100%✓≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic100%✓≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access100%✓≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References1 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,351✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,351
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829686
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]17%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 17%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (91 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The relationship between global macroeconomic indicators and political instability is not merely a function of levels — the velocity and acceleration of change matter as much as the state itself. A country weathering chronic economic stress may remain stable; sudden deterioration triggers cascading collapse dynamics. This paper presents the World Stability Intelligence (WSI) Macro Velocity Fram...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829686 75stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted100%✓≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI100%✓≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed100%✓≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic100%✓≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access100%✓≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References1 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,351✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,351
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829686
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]17%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 17%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (91 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more

Economic Vulnerability and Political Fragility: Are They the Same Crisis?

Posted on by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829103  51stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted75%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI25%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed75%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic25%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access75%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References4 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,659✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,659
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829103
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (50 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

Economic collapse and political fragility are often treated as symptoms of the same disease — the assumption being that when an economy fails, political violence follows inevitably. But the World Stability Intelligence (WSI) dataset, covering 87 countries across six regions, reveals a more nuanced picture. Some countries maintain remarkable political stability despite severe economic distress (...

Show moreHide
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829103 51stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted75%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI25%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed75%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic25%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access75%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References4 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,659✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,659
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829103
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (50 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
Geopolitical RiskRead More
Read more