This article investigates the application of machine l[REDACTED]g (ML) forecasting models to estimate informal employment levels under economic stress scenarios. We calibrate our models using COVID-19 pandemic data and apply them to predict informality responses to AI-driven structural unemployment. Our research addresses three key questions: (RQ1) How accurately can ML models forecast informal...
Category: Shadow Economy Dynamics
Tax burden, informatization, and shadow economy dynamics in Ukraine. Scenario analysis and game-theoretic approaches.
AI-Assisted Wealth Register Verification: Cross-Border Asset Disclosure and Hidden Wealth Detection
Artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly transforming financial compliance, particularly in the verification of wealth register declarations and cross-border asset disclosure. Tax authorities worldwide are deploying machine l[REDACTED]g models to parse public corporate registries, property transaction logs, and offshore entity disclosures in order to detect hidden wealth and inconsistencies. Thi...
Informal Economy Measurement with Satellite Data: Night-Light and Activity Indicators
Satellite‑derived indicators have become a pivotal method for estimating informal economic activity in emerging markets [1] [2]. This article investigates the comparative effectiveness of three remote‑sensing proxies—night‑light intensity, parking‑lot occupancy, and shipping‑container movement—in measuring informal economic output across a set of pilot regions [3]. We formulate three research q...
Real-Time Fraud Detection in Mobile Payments: Behavioral Biometrics and Transaction Anomaly Fusion
Mobile payment ecosystems generate rich behavioral signals during user interaction, including typing patterns, device motion, and transaction graph topology. This article investigates the efficacy of fusing these behavioral biometrics with graph-based anomaly detection to achieve real-time fraud detection in mobile payment platforms. We address three core research questions: (RQ1) How do behavi...
AI in Customs Fraud Detection: Benchmarking Neural Approaches to Invoice Manipulation
The digitization of global trade has intensified the need for automated fraud detection mechanisms within customs environments. While neural network architectures have shown promise for identifying manipulative invoice patterns, systematic benchmarks comparing their performance across distinct fraud typologies are lacking. This article presents a comparative evaluation of four state‑of‑the‑art ...
Gig Economy Tax Gaps: AI-Assisted Matching of Platform Income to Tax Declarations
The rapid expansion of digital platforms has transformed labor markets, but tax compliance remains uneven due to fragmented reporting of gig worker income. This article quantifies the tax gap created by under-reporting of platform-generated [REDACTED]gs in the European Union and the United States, and evaluates emerging artificial intelligence–driven data‑matching techniques that reconcile plat...
Cryptocurrency-Enabled Shadow Economies: On-Chain Analytics for Illicit Flow Detection
The increasing adoption of cryptocurrency has facilitated the emergence of shadow economies that operate beyond traditional regulatory frameworks. Detecting illicit flow patterns within blockchain transactions is critical for financial compliance and risk assessment. This article addresses the following research questions: (RQ1) How can on-chain analytics be leveraged to identify shadow economy...
EU AI Act Compliance for Ukrainian Tech: How Explanation Requirements Affect AI Exports
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The Transformation of Shadow Labor Markets: How AI Platforms Reshape Informal Work
The rise of AI-driven gig platforms has dramatically altered informal labor ecosystems, creating new shadow market dynamics that traditional economic models fail to capture. This article investigates how platform design choices directly reshape worker vulnerability, income stability, and social protection gaps in emerging economies. We demonstrate that platform-mediated work arrangements are no...
Public Procurement AI: Detecting Corruption Patterns with Explainable Machine Learning
Government procurement processes are vulnerable to corruption, inefficiency, and opaque decision‑making. This article presents an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) framework for detecting corruption patterns in public procurement datasets, focusing on invoice analysis and contract anomaly detection. Using a combination of statistical feature extraction, graph‑based anomaly scoring, and ...