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Category: Geopolitical Risk Intelligence

Data-driven political and economic risk predictions. Monitoring public databases, historical analysis, and predictive modeling for community safety.

Measuring State Fragility: An Empirical RSI Framework Applied to Ukraine

Posted on March 12, 2026March 13, 2026 by Admin
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18998198  42stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted50%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI50%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed50%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic50%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access100%✓≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References2 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,260✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,260
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18998198
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (46 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

We built something. Not a dashboard, not a report, not another data visualization that looks impressive but tells you nothing actionable. We built a ruler. A ruler that measures the same thing — instability — whether you point it at a country, a city, or a neighbourhood. The same 0-to-1 scale. The same formula. The same question: how close is this place to falling apart?

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18998198 42stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted50%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI50%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed50%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic50%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access100%✓≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References2 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,260✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,260
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18998198
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (46 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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When the Economy Collapses, the Government Follows: Mapping the Dependency Between Economic and Political Instability

Posted on March 12, 2026March 12, 2026 by Admin
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972765  53stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources29%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted100%✓≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI43%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef29%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed0%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic43%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access71%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References7 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,041✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,041
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972765
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]0%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 0%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (54 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

Venezuela's GDP contracted by more than 80 percent between 2013 and 2021 — one of the largest peacetime economic collapses ever recorded. Its political system, meanwhile, had not yet fully collapsed when the economy began its descent. The government survived by concentrating power, suppressing opposition, and externalizing blame. But the sequence is unmistakable: the economy fell first, and pol...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972765 53stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources29%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted100%✓≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI43%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef29%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed0%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic43%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access71%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References7 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,041✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,041
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972765
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]0%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 0%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (54 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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The World Is Less Violent Than in 2000. It Is Also Less Stable. Here Is Why.

Posted on March 12, 2026March 12, 2026 by Admin
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972000  38stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources20%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted60%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI30%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef10%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed10%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic30%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access40%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References10 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,883✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,883
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972000
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]22%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 22%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (39 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The conflict proxy score — our model's aggregate measure of active armed conflict intensity across 87 countries — has fallen from 6.85 in 2000 to 5.20 in 2023. That is a 24% decline over 23 years. By the oldest and most intuitive measure of global danger, the world is meaningfully safer than it was at the turn of the millennium.

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972000 38stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources20%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted60%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI30%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef10%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed10%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic30%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access40%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References10 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]1,883✗Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 1,883
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18972000
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]22%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 22%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (39 × 60%) + Required (2/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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The Algorithm That Watches the World Fall Apart

Posted on March 11, 2026March 11, 2026 by Admin
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18968959  43stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted60%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI0%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed60%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic60%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access80%✓≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References5 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,305✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,305
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18968959
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]0%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 0%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams0○Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 0
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (42 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (0/4 × 10%)

This article describes the development and deployment of the World Stability Intelligence (WSI) system — a machine learning-driven geopolitical risk monitoring platform that continuously tracks 87 countries across three risk dimensions: war risk (45%), political risk (35%), and economic risk (20%). Drawing on an ML-enhanced heuristic prediction framework (HPF-P), the system generates normalized...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18968959 43stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted60%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI0%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed60%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic60%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access80%✓≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References5 refs○Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,305✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,305
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18968959
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]0%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 0%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams0○Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 0
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (42 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (0/4 × 10%)
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The Ratepayer Protection Pledge: Trump’s AI Energy Gambit and the Geopolitics of Power

Posted on March 8, 2026March 8, 2026 by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18905817  37stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted46%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI15%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed15%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic15%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access31%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References13 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,392✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,392
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18905817
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (28 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

On March 4, 2026, seven of the world's most powerful technology corporations — Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI, Oracle, and xAI — signed the Ratepayer Protection Pledge at the White House, committing to absorb the full cost of electricity generation required by their artificial intelligence data centers. The pledge, announced by President Trump in his State of the Union address and form...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18905817 37stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted46%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI15%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed15%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic15%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access31%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References13 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,392✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,392
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18905817
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]50%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 50%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (28 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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Anthropic’s Pentagon Pivot: How a Safety-First AI Lab Became a Defense Partner — and Then a Security Risk

Posted on March 7, 2026March 7, 2026 by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18899355  39stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted53%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI13%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed20%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic13%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References15 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,887✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,887
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18899355
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]47%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 47%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (30 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

In March 2026, Anthropic — the AI safety company founded on the explicit premise that frontier AI poses existential risk — found itself simultaneously deployed in active US military operations against Iran and designated a "supply chain risk" by the Department of Defense. This paradox encapsulates a deeper geopolitical inflection point: the collision between constitutional AI governance framewo...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18899355 39stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted53%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI13%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed20%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic13%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References15 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,887✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,887
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18899355
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]47%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 47%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (30 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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Survival as a Strategy: Ukraine’s AI Trajectory in War and Peace

Posted on March 7, 2026March 7, 2026 by Admin
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896813  45stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted83%✓≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI17%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic17%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access42%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References12 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,198✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,198
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896813
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]9%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 9%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams4✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 4
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (40 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

We can already observe the development and implementation of artificial intelligence in various spheres of human activity. And, strange as it may seem, Ukraine's success in using advanced technologies, particularly in the military sphere, is logically and predictably driven by its need to survive in a challenging war against a powerful adversary. While the use of artificial intelligence in othe...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896813 45stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted83%✓≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI17%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed17%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic17%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access42%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References12 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,198✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,198
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896813
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]9%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 9%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams4✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 4
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (40 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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Ukraine’s AI Duality: World Leader in Battlefield Systems, Lagging in Civil Adoption

Posted on March 7, 2026March 13, 2026 by
Gap Research
Gap Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896514  42stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted77%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI8%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed15%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic15%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access62%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References13 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,877✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,877
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896514
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]8%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 8%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (35 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

Ukraine has emerged as the most intensively documented front-line AI deployment environment in recorded conflict history — simultaneously pioneering battlefield AI systems that have reshaped NATO's operational doctrine and building a surprisingly resilient civil e-governance infrastructure under active wartime conditions. Yet beneath these headline achievements lies a stark bifurcation: Ukraine...

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Gap Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896514 42stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted77%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI8%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed15%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic15%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access62%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References13 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,877✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,877
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896514
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]8%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 8%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (35 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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Decision-Cycle Compression in AI-Augmented Warfare: Ukraine and the Indian Ocean Engagement

Posted on March 7, 2026March 7, 2026 by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896370  33stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted41%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI6%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed6%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic6%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access29%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References17 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,980✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,980
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896370
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]41%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 41%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams5✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 5
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (21 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

This paper presents a comparative analysis of AI-assisted decision systems in two empirically distinct kinetic environments: the ongoing Russo-Ukrainian war (2022–2026), which constitutes the most extensively documented contemporary frontline proving of AI-augmented battlefield management, and the sinking of the Iranian Navy frigate IRIS Dena by USS Charlotte on 4 March 2026 in the Indian Ocean...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896370 33stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources0%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted41%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI6%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef0%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed6%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic6%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access29%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References17 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]3,980✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 3,980
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18896370
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]41%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 41%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams5✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 5
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (21 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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Middle East AI Investment Surge: AWS Saudi Arabia and the Race for Regional AI Dominance

Posted on March 6, 2026March 6, 2026 by
Geopolitical Research
Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko  ·  DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18889315  41stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources13%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted53%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI20%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef13%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed13%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic27%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References15 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,970✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,970
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18889315
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]43%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 43%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (34 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)

The Middle East has emerged as one of the world's most contested AI infrastructure battlegrounds, with Gulf states deploying trillions in sovereign wealth to position themselves as neutral nodes in an increasingly fragmented global AI order. Amazon Web Services' $5.3 billion Saudi Arabia cloud region—augmented by an additional $5 billion AI Zone built in partnership with HUMAIN, a Public Invest...

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Geopolitical Research by Oleh Ivchenko DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18889315 41stabilfr·wdophcgmx
BadgeMetricValueStatusDescription
[s]Reviewed Sources13%○≥80% from editorially reviewed sources
[t]Trusted53%○≥80% from verified, high-quality sources
[a]DOI20%○≥80% have a Digital Object Identifier
[b]CrossRef13%○≥80% indexed in CrossRef
[i]Indexed13%○≥80% have metadata indexed
[l]Academic27%○≥80% from journals/conferences/preprints
[f]Free Access33%○≥80% are freely accessible
[r]References15 refs✓Minimum 10 references required
[w]Words [REQ]2,970✓Minimum 2,000 words for a full research article. Current: 2,970
[d]DOI [REQ]✓✓Zenodo DOI registered for persistent citation. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18889315
[o]ORCID [REQ]✓✓Author ORCID verified for academic identity
[p]Peer Reviewed [REQ]—✗Peer reviewed by an assigned reviewer
[h]Freshness [REQ]43%✗≥60% of references from 2025–2026. Current: 43%
[c]Data Charts0○Original data charts from reproducible analysis (min 2). Current: 0
[g]Code—○Source code available on GitHub
[m]Diagrams3✓Mermaid architecture/flow diagrams. Current: 3
[x]Cited by0○Referenced by 0 other hub article(s)
Score = Ref Trust (34 × 60%) + Required (3/5 × 30%) + Optional (1/4 × 10%)
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