📚 Academic Citation: Oleh Ivchenko (2026). Velocity, Momentum, and Collapse: How Global Macro Dynamics Drive Near-Term Political Risk. Research article: Velocity, Momentum, and Collapse: How Global Macro Dynamics Drive Near-Term Political Risk. ONPU. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829686 Oleh Ivchenko · World Stability Intelligence · March 2, 2026 Abstract The relationship between global macroeconomic indicators and political instability…
Category: Geopolitical Risk Intelligence
Data-driven political and economic risk predictions. Monitoring public databases, historical analysis, and predictive modeling for community safety.
Economic Vulnerability and Political Fragility: Are They the Same Crisis?
📚 Academic Citation: Oleh Ivchenko (2026). Economic Vulnerability and Political Fragility: Are They the Same Crisis?. Research article: Economic Vulnerability and Political Fragility: Are They the Same Crisis?. ONPU. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18829103 Oleh Ivchenko | Stabilarity Research | March 2026 Part of the Geopolitical Risk Intelligence series Abstract Economic collapse and political fragility are often treated…
World Stability Intelligence: Unifying Conflict Prediction and Geopolitical Risk into a Single Model
📚 Academic Citation: Ivchenko, O. (2026). World Stability Intelligence: Unifying Conflict Prediction and Geopolitical Risk into a Single Model. Research article: World Stability Intelligence: Unifying Conflict Prediction and Geopolitical Risk into a Single Model. ONPU. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18828896 Author: Oleh Ivchenko | Stabilarity Research Hub Series: Geopolitical Risk Intelligence, Article 3 Abstract Two distinct analytical traditions…
Forecasting Political Risk: A Comparative Analysis of Time Series Prediction Methods
📚 Academic Citation: Ivchenko, O. (2026). Forecasting Political Risk: A Comparative Analysis of Time Series Prediction Methods. Research article: Forecasting Political Risk: A Comparative Analysis of Time Series Prediction Methods. ONPU. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18828738 Abstract Predicting political risk is fundamentally different from economic forecasting — and the difference matters enormously for both policymakers and investors. Economic…